2025 Stats
W-L
3-3
ERA
3.47
WHIP
1.14
K
40
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Falter got his most extended opportunity as a starter in 2024 by taking 28 turns through the rotation as a member of the Pirates. His 4.43 ERA and 1.29 WHIP were both unremarkable, and those results were backed by similarly uninspiring skills. His strikeout rate dipped to 16.5 percent, and his career 9.2 percent swinging strike rate doesn't suggest there's much additional upside. The positive from his profile was his ability to blend a relatively high 42.1 percent flyball rate with a more muted 1.1 HR/9. That could offer a streaming opportunity in favorable pitcher's parks or power-deficient lineups, so long as Falter can stick in the rotation. The latter point is hardly a given with Johan Oviedo (elbow) likely to be back in the mix, as well as promising prospects such as Thomas Harrington, Braxton Ashcraft (forearm) and Bubba Chandler all likely to reach the majors at some point in 2025. All told, Falter should be on the radar for NL-only leagues, but his appeal in mixed formats should be a streamer at most. Read Past Outlooks
Falls short of quality start
Falter did not factor into the decision Sunday, allowing three runs (two earned) on four hits and three walks over 5.2 innings in a 6-5 loss against the Brewers. He struck out one.
ANALYSIS
Falter surrendered three runs during the opening frame but settled down from there, though he fell an out short of his sixth quality start of the year since he was pulled after giving up a two-out single in the sixth inning. The left-hander's single punchout was a season low, but he's still given up just three earned runs across his past five starts. That strong stretch leaves him with a 3.47 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 40:21 K:BB through 59.2 innings this year. Falter is tentatively scheduled for a tough road matchup with the Padres next weekend.
Falter surrendered three runs during the opening frame but settled down from there, though he fell an out short of his sixth quality start of the year since he was pulled after giving up a two-out single in the sixth inning. The left-hander's single punchout was a season low, but he's still given up just three earned runs across his past five starts. That strong stretch leaves him with a 3.47 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 40:21 K:BB through 59.2 innings this year. Falter is tentatively scheduled for a tough road matchup with the Padres next weekend.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
82
Last 10 Games
82
Last 5 Games
84
How many pitches does Bailey Falter generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Bailey Falter generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-23%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-50%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .319 | 38 | 12 | 75 | 11 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .245 | 159 | 74 | 204 | 29 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .360 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 2 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .180 | 33 | 18 | 29 | 4 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .277 | 19 | 6 | 33 | 3 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .255 | 78 | 39 | 105 | 14 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .364 | 12 | 3 | 24 | 6 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .269 | 48 | 17 | 70 | 11 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-27%
ERA at Home
2025
-52%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 3.83 | 1.12 | 150.1 | 6.6 | 2.3 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 5.24 | 1.48 | 132.1 | 5.9 | 3.3 | ||||
| 2025Home | 2.45 | 0.82 | 36.2 | 5.4 | 2.2 | ||||
| 2025Away | 5.09 | 1.65 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 4.7 | ||||
| 2024Home | 3.98 | 1.25 | 74.2 | 6.5 | 2.7 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.92 | 1.33 | 67.2 | 5.7 | 3.1 | ||||
| 2023Home | 4.85 | 1.18 | 39.0 | 7.8 | 1.6 | ||||
| 2023Away | 5.83 | 1.63 | 41.2 | 5.6 | 2.8 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Bailey Falter compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
1.90K/9
6.0BB/9
3.2HR/9
0.9Fastball
92.0 mphERA
3.47WHIP
1.14BABIP
.242GB/FB
0.94Left On Base
67.1%Exit Velocity
83.2 mphBarrels/BBE
6.0%Spin Rate
2003 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
29.5%Swinging Strike
7.6%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Falter was flipped from Philadelphia at the trade deadline in 2023, though his role, workload and skill all remained nearly identical before and after the trade. He threw a total of 80.2 uninspiring innings in the majors, as he saw his velocity dip to the lowest mark of his career (90.9), with a corresponding dip in swinging strike rate (7.9 percent) and strikeout rate (17.3 percent). Even on a team with a relatively uninspiring group of starters, it's unlikely that Falter will be able to earn anything more than spot starts and a bullpen role. Though he's not a closer of the future, Falter has had more success in relief in his career, holding opponents to a .303 wOBA with 52 strikeouts across 56.2 innings. He could turn into a relatively successful multi-inning reliever, though the fantasy value of that in most league formats is minimal.
More Fantasy News
Blanks Cincy for third win
Falter (3-3) picked up the win in Tuesday's 1-0 victory over the Reds, scattering four hits over seven scoreless innings. He struck out five without walking a batter.
ANALYSIS
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Runs up pitch count Wednesday
Falter did not factor into Wednesday's decision against the Mets, allowing three hits and five walks while striking out three across 3.2 scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
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Tosses six scoreless frames in win
Falter (2-3) earned the win against Atlanta on Friday, allowing two hits and two walks while striking out three over six scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
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No-decision in quality start
Falter did not factor into the decision of Saturday's game against the Padres, allowing one run on two hits and two walks while striking out six over seven innings.
ANALYSIS
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Stumbles in loss
Falter (1-3) yielded seven runs (five earned) on eight hits and two walks over 4.1 innings Sunday, striking out two and taking a loss against the Dodgers.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Set for Friday's start
Falter will start Friday against the Cardinals, according to Matt Gelb of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
Falter has been working as the team's sixth starter all season long, and he will be recalled after Zach Eflin landed on the injured list with a bruised knee. There's a chance Eflin stays sidelined until after the All-Star break, though, and if that's the case, then Falter would stay with the big-league club for more than one start. Falter has gone between three and five innings in his last three MLB appearances, registering a 4.26 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 10 strikeouts in 12.2 innings over that stretch.
Falter has been working as the team's sixth starter all season long, and he will be recalled after Zach Eflin landed on the injured list with a bruised knee. There's a chance Eflin stays sidelined until after the All-Star break, though, and if that's the case, then Falter would stay with the big-league club for more than one start. Falter has gone between three and five innings in his last three MLB appearances, registering a 4.26 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 10 strikeouts in 12.2 innings over that stretch.